The Supreme Court in Wayfair v. South Dakota on June 21, 2018, expanded the reach of states across the country to impose sales and use tax obligations on retail and other businesses (so-called economic nexus). We predicted then that there would be many state tax changes to come as a result of Wayfair. Late June is the first anniversary of Wayfair — a good time not only to look back on key Wayfair-related developments but also to look forward to key trends and activities we predict are likely to happen during the second half of 2019 and beyond.
Growth of economic nexus states
Trend: I anticipate that by the end of 2019 or beginning of 2020, all the remaining states will fall in the Wayfair-line. This means that businesses across the country will likely face sales and use tax requirements in many more states than ever before. These new, often complex requirements include the obligation to register, to keep records, and to collect and remit sales and use taxes in many states in which they do not have a physical presence. These challenges will affect businesses, not only in the retail online and brick-and-mortar sector but in other industries across business types and up and down the supply chain; including wholesale, manufacturing, distribution, and construction.
Changes to the Wayfair-South Dakota economic nexus ‘model’
- The volume of business generated in the state ($100,000); and,
- The number of “transactions” in the state (200).
Trend: States are now adopting other models and will do so going forward. Many will continue to put their stamp on their economic nexus laws as legislatures move to pass these bills. So, for example, both New York and California have raised the volume threshold to $500,000. In other states, additional conditions have been written into the language of the statute. For example, Tennessee adds “and systematic solicitation of sales,” and Mississippi adds “systematic exploitation of the market.” Other questions that are being asked and will continue to be answered differently by each state either explicitly in the law, or by administrative fiat include:
- How do you measure the “volume of business?”
- Do the number of transactions in a state matter?
- Do both the volume of business and the number of transaction minimums have to be met or just one of them?
Alternative nexus laws still on the books
Trend: Many of these “alternative” laws attempting to get around the Quill physical-presence requirement are being challenged in court. The prospects of continuing litigation and the accompanying drain on state legal resources may cast a shadow on most states’ primary objective -- finding new sources of revenue to fund state programs. So, as more and more states adopt economic nexus, look for these alternative statutes to be reviewed to determine if the costs of are outweighed by the benefits (e.g., revenue) of keeping them.
That said, past-year liabilities under these laws will remain a real and continuing risk for businesses, even though these laws may not be carried forward into the future.
Marketplace facilitator laws
Trend: Marketplace facilitator state rules have not only survived Wayfair but will continue to flourish. Although a rapidly moving target, currently, many states and Washington, D.C., already have statutes in place and many others have proposed legislation. I expect most states to have such laws in place by the end of 2019, or early 2020.
But wait, there’s more! Sellers are not completely off the hook. They will still have to track any sales not transacted within the marketplace facility. Also, it remains their responsibility to ensure that compliance rules and requirements are being met, and it’s important to note that this could result in significant and unexpected expenses to hit businesses.
Use tax notice/reporting laws
Trend: Washington State dropped its reporting law in October 2018 after the economic nexus law became effective, and other states may follow. Why? To the extent that the “collect or report” election would limit a state’s authority to require sales and use tax collection under economic nexus, the election provision might conflict with the change in federal law. Other states with these “notice/reporting” laws may follow suit in 2019 and beyond.
Federal legislation to address nexus in the states
To be sure, every state is putting its unique stamp on nexus in general, and economic nexus in particular, leading to a meteoric rise in state “guidance” on economic nexus. Whether the states need to be “reined in” at this point is certainly controversial. However, historically, Congress has been unwilling to get involved. All past attempts to legislate rules on a federal level have failed.
It’s also important to note that federal legislation creating sales and use tax uniformity among the states likely is dead in the water for the foreseeable future.
Wayfair effect on state income tax nexus
There are currently many states that have their case law confirming that an economic presence is sufficient to establish a substantial nexus for corporate income taxes. Some of these statutes provide that corporate income tax nexus is established when a corporation has a “substantial economic presence” or “significant economic presence.” The Supreme Court has not agreed to review these laws. I don’t expect either SCOTUS or Congress to intervene here in the foreseeable future.
Trend: At a minimum, this unwillingness on the part of the Supreme Court to review these laws, coupled with the Wayfair holding that physical presence is not required to have nexus, has many believing there is tangible support for the constitutionality of these income tax nexus statutes. So, for states that do not currently have such income tax nexus laws, Wayfair may now provide an impetus for them to pass such laws, using the rationale that they now have a constitutional “green light” to do so.
The taxation of cloud-based services will increase
Trend: A perfect storm of the growth in cloud-based services, the expanding growth of state taxing power brought about by Wayfair, and the states’ needs to find new sources of revenue almost certainly will lead to more taxation of cloud-based and other technology-related services in 2019 and beyond. What is not clear is whether that increased taxation will take the form of explicit statutes or administrative interpretation.
Businesses can expect a greater frequency of sales and use tax audits
Businesses and their advisors need to take heed and increase their use of software and other technologies to ensure they accurately comply. The risks and the potential cost of incorrect compliance are growing and could be a huge, unexpected financial burden on any business.
The bottom line: What should companies do to prepare?
- Understand their nexus profile — where do they have a sales and use tax obligation based on evolving standards, like economic nexus under Wayfair?
- Assess their capability to accurately, consistently and efficiently meet their obligations, a.k.a. their sales and use tax competencies.
- Adopt and deploy best practices to ensure decreased risk, increased efficiency, and improved productivity.